The likelihood of establishment is considered moderate outdoors and under protected conditions in the Mediterranean region, Portugal and in the Near East. 

Establishment in the rest of the EPPO region is considered very unlikely and unlikely outdoors and under protected conditions, respectively. Where it is introduced, the pest is likely to cause losses, at least until control methods are added to the current integrated management programmes in the crops concerned. 

The pest is expected to have a moderate impact e.g. on fruit production, exports and possibly on seed production. Long-distance spread will be via human-assisted pathways, especially fruit.