<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="1"?>
<pra datepubli="2022-03-17" lastupdate="2022-03-17">
 <uuid>802142f0-7415-4d43-94b1-de00fe0a38cb</uuid>
 <country>EPPO</country>
 <datepra>2021-12-06</datepra>
 <title>﻿The potential direct economic impact and private management costs of an invasive alien species: Xylella fastidiosa on Lebanese wine grapes</title>
 <description><![CDATA[<p>Frem M, Fucilli V, Nigro F, El Moujabber M, Abou Kubaa R, La Notte P, Bozzo F, Choueiri E (2021) ﻿The potential direct economic impact and private management costs of an invasive alien species: <em>Xylella fastidiosa</em> on Lebanese wine grapes. NeoBiota 70: 43-67. <a href="https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.70.72280" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.70.72280</a>&nbsp;</p><p><br></p><p>Since its outbreak in 2013 in Italy, the harmful bacterium <em><span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa</span></em> has continued to spread throughout the Euro-Mediterranean basin and, more recently, in the Middle East region. <span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa&nbsp;subsp.&nbsp;fastidiosa</span> is the causal agent of Pierce&rsquo;s disease on grapevines. At present, this alien subspecies has not been reported in Lebanon but if this biological invader was to spread with no cost-effective and sustainable management, it would put Lebanese vineyards at a certain level of risk. In the absence of an <span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa&nbsp;subsp.&nbsp;fastidiosa</span> outbreak, the gross revenue generated by Lebanese wine growers is estimated as close to US$22 million/year for an average period of 5 years (2015&ndash;2019). The potential quantitative economic impacts of an <span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa&nbsp;subsp.&nbsp;fastidiosa</span> outbreak and particularly, the private control costs have not been assessed yet for this country as well as for others which <em><span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa</span></em> may invade. Here, we have aimed to estimate the potential direct economic impact on growers&rsquo; livelihoods and provide the first estimate of the private management costs that a theoretical <span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa&nbsp;subsp.&nbsp;fastidiosa</span> outbreak in Lebanon would involve. For this purpose, we used a Partial Budget approach at the farm gate. For the country as a whole, we estimated that a hypothetical full spread of <span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa&nbsp;subsp.&nbsp;fastidiosa</span> on Lebanese wine grapes would lead to maximum potential gross revenue losses of almost US$ 11 million for an average recovery period of 4 years, to around US$ 82.44 million for an average grapevine life span period of 30 years in which infected plants are not replaced at all. The first yearly estimated additional management cost is US$853 per potentially infected hectare. For a recovery period of 4 years, the aggregate estimated additional cost would reach US$2374/ha, while the aggregate net change in profit would be US$-4046/ha. Furthermore, additional work will be needed to estimate the public costs of an <span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa&nbsp;subsp.&nbsp;fastidiosa</span> outbreak in Lebanon. The observed costs in this study support the concerned policy makers and stakeholders to implement a set of reduction management options against <span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa&nbsp;subsp.&nbsp;fastidiosa</span> at both national and wine growers&rsquo; levels. This re-emerging alien biota should not be neglected in this country. This understanding of the potential direct economic impact of&nbsp;<span data-taxon-parsed-name="Xylella fastidiosa subsp. fastidiosa">Xylella&nbsp;fastidiosa&nbsp;subsp.&nbsp;fastidiosa</span> and the private management costs can also benefit further larger-scale studies covering other potential infection areas and plant hosts.</p>]]></description>
 <author id="24">
  <fullname>EPPO Secretariat</fullname>
  <institute id="14">Other PRAs - Scientific articles and research projects</institute>
 </author>
 <tags>
  <tag>article</tag>
  <tag>economics</tag>
  <tag>modelling</tag>
 </tags>
 <organisms>
  <organism eppocode="XYLEFA">Xylella fastidiosa</organism>
 </organisms>
 <hosts>
  <host eppocode="VITVI">Vitis vinifera</host>
 </hosts>
 <praarea>
  <area isocode="LB">Lebanon</area>
 </praarea>
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  <file type="1" size="1574685">
   <title>NB_article_72280_en_1.pdf</title>
   <url>https://pra.eppo.int/getfile/351ebf71-8e09-4c02-a3e9-b8bffeea1fbf</url>
  </file>
 </files>
</pra>
