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<pra datepubli="2022-11-28" lastupdate="2022-11-28">
 <uuid>e6b88eb5-e5e0-4b64-9afd-9ea00aa39212</uuid>
 <country>EPPO</country>
 <datepra>2022-11-25</datepra>
 <title>Predicting the potential global distribution of an invasive alien pest Trioza erytreae (Del Guercio) (Hemiptera: Triozidae)</title>
 <description><![CDATA[<p>Aidoo OF, Souza PG, Silva RS, J&uacute;nior PA, Pican&ccedil;o MC, Kyerematen R, S&egrave;tamou M, Ekesi S, Borgemeister C (2022) Predicting the potential global distribution of an invasive alien pest Trioza erytreae (Del Guercio)(Hemiptera: Triozidae). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-23213-w </p><p><br></p><p>The impact of invasive alien pests on agriculture, food security, and biodiversity conservation has been worsened by climate change caused by the rising earth&rsquo;s atmospheric greenhouse gases. The African citrus triozid, <em>Trioza erytreae</em> (Del Guercio; Hemiptera: Triozidae), is an invasive pest of all citrus species. It vectors the phloem-limited bacterium &ldquo;<em>Candidatus</em> Liberibacter africanus&rdquo;, a causal agent of citrus greening disease or African&nbsp;Huanglongbing (HLB). Understanding the global distribution of&nbsp;<em>T. erytreae</em> is critical for surveillance, monitoring, and eradication programs. Therefore, we combined geospatial and physiological data of&nbsp;<em>T. erytreae</em> to predict its global distribution using the CLIMEX model. The model&rsquo;s prediction matches&nbsp;<em>T. erytreae</em> present-day distribution and shows that parts of the Mediterranean region have moderate (0&thinsp;&lt;&thinsp;EI&thinsp;&lt;&thinsp;30) to high (EI&thinsp;&gt;&thinsp;30) suitability for the pest. The model predicts habitat suitability in the major citrus-producing countries, such as Mexico, Brazil, China, India, and the USA. In the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B and A2 scenarios, the model predicts a reduction in habitat suitability from the current time to 2070. The findings show that global citrus production will continue to be threatened by&nbsp;<em>T. erytreae</em>. However, our study provides relevant information for biosecurity and risk assessment.</p>]]></description>
 <author id="24">
  <fullname>EPPO Secretariat</fullname>
  <institute id="14">Other PRAs - Scientific articles and research projects</institute>
 </author>
 <tags>
  <tag>article</tag>
  <tag>modelling</tag>
  <tag>Potential establishment</tag>
 </tags>
 <organisms>
  <organism eppocode="TRIZER">Trioza erytreae</organism>
 </organisms>
 <files>
  <file type="1" size="3850130">
   <title>s41598-022-23213-w.pdf</title>
   <url>https://pra.eppo.int/getfile/d12a7d98-5bbb-4ee2-8ea6-3fb3cdeb3ecf</url>
  </file>
 </files>
</pra>
