Apriona rugicollis Chevrolat, 1852 is an important phytophagous pest that mainly affects plants of the Moraceae, Salicaceae, and Ulmaceae families. In this study, an ensemble model was used to predict the potential habitats of A. rugicollis and their areas of change under current and future climate change conditions. The results show that the habitat of A. rugicollis will gradually expand to northern China and Hokkaido, Japan, in the future with global climate change, suggesting that it is necessary to establish an early warning and monitoring network in these regions to prevent its further spread and thus potential damage to host plants. This study provides a theoretical and scientific basis for the prevention and control of the spread of A. rugicollis.