Based on this PRA, Ceratocystis ficicola was added to the EPPO A2 List of pests recommended for regulation as quarantine pests in 2025. Measures for Ficus carica plants for planting (except seeds, tissue culture, pollen) with or without growing media are recommended.

Main conclusions: 

Entry: The likelihood of entry on fig (Ficus carica) plants for planting was considered as very high with a low uncertainty (potted plants with growing media attached). Entry on bonsai F. carica plants was considered as high likelihood with moderate uncertainty. Entry on bare rooted plants was considered high with a high uncertainty and entry on cuttings and rooted cuttings was moderate with a high uncertainty. Entry on conveyance vehicles and equipment that have been operated in a fig production area was moderate with a high uncertainty. 

Establishment: There is a very high likelihood that C. ficicola can establish in the EPPO region with a low uncertainty. It has already established in Greece and Italy. The pest is more likely to establish outdoors in Mediterranean countries with commercial fig production than in other areas (e.g. Northern Europe). The likelihood of establishment under protected conditions is assessed as very high with a low uncertainty. 

The magnitude of spread was rated as moderate with a moderate uncertainty. The EWG considered the main factor for spread is human assisted spread with natural spread having a lower magnitude. 

The magnitude of impact in the current area of distribution was rated as high with a low uncertainty. The magnitude of impact in the EPPO region is expected to be similar to that in the current area of distribution. However, the uncertainty is increased to moderate due to a lack of experience in controlling the pest (e.g. experience with resistant rootstock) in the EPPO region. Impact may be different depending on the country, and the speed at which measures can be developed, authorized and implemented