Gilioli G, Sperandio G, Simonetto A et al.  (2022) Assessing the risk of establishment and transient populations of Spodoptera frugiperda in Europe. Journal of Pest Science. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10340-022-01517-0

There are high concerns linked to the potential establishment and impacts of Spodoptera frugiperda in Europe

We developed a physiologically-based model to quantitatively assess the risks linked to S. frugiperda

Risk of establishment of S. frugiperda was predicted in the Mediterranean coastal areas of Southern Europe

Risks linked to transient populations (i.e. populations migrating from suitable areas) were predicted in Southern and Central Europe